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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 400.4 16.6 4.3 4.73
Weir Group PLC 2361 78 3.4 25.65
IMI PLC 1269 38 3.1 15.68
Burberry Group PLC 1318 38 3 7.5
Rolls-Royce Group PLC 1131 31 2.8 29.48
WPP Group PLC 1080 29 2.8 21.62
Schroders PLC 2212 59 2.7 31.2
ITV PLC 126.7 3.1 2.5 20.44
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Evraz PLC 185.8 -23.9 -11.4 -28.23
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 257.1 -12.8 -4.7 -9.47
Randgold Resources Ltd 5195 -145 -2.7 -12.69
Fresnillo PLC 1291 -32 -2.4 -30.1
Polymetal International PLC 877 -16 -1.8 -25.36
Antofagasta PLC 1015 -17 -1.6 -23.34
Glencore International PLC 351.7 -5.8 -1.6 0.11
Associated British Foods PLC 1841 -29 -1.6 17.71
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,416.14 28.77 0.45 8.79
UK 13,968.00 173.82 1.26 12.87
FR CAC 40 3,775.66 31.95 0.85 3.70
DE DAX 30 7,871.63 61.00 0.78 3.41
US DJ Industrial Average 30 14,865.00 62.86 0.42 13.44
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,300.16 2.91 0.09 9.29
US S&P 500 1,593.37 5.64 0.36 11.72
JP Nikkei 225 13,485.14 -64.02 -0.47 29.72
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22,075.28 -17.21 -0.12 -2.57
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,013.50 6.43 0.13 7.84
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 93.075 -0.405 -0.43 1.4
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 104.205 -0.53 -0.51 -6.35
Gold ($/oz) 1560.65 -1.05 -0.07 -6.86
Silver ($/oz) 27.5325 -0.0675 -0.24 -9.25
Platinum ($/oz) 1528.6 -6.4 -0.42 -1
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.5387 -0.05 -5.26
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3099 -0.13 -0.76
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1747 0.09 -4.62
UK Index called to open -25pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08-30     EZ           EU Finance Ministers Meeting (Dublin)
  • 09-30     UK          Construction Output
  • 10-00     EZ           Industrial Production
  • 12-00     US          JPMorgan Chase Q1 Results
  • 13-00     US          Wells Fargo Q1 Results
  • 13-30     US          Retail Sales
  • 14-55     US          Uni of Michigan Consumer Confidence
  • 17-30     US          Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open -25pts, with Asian bourses very mixed overnight despite a largely quiet end-of-week session in the region and another strong finish by US equities helped by a drop in US jobless claims, calming nerves from last Friday’s employment report and the recent FOMC minutes. Concerns on Eurozone back to the fore with meeting today.

Japan’s Nikkei down on some profit taking as the JPY strengthening against the USD on flexibility comments from BoJ Governor Kuroda, meant to imply could last longer rather than might take a break. Korean peninsula remains tenuous to say the least, with US reports suggesting the North may have the ability to launch a nuclear missile.

In China, moved between gains and losses ahead of Sunday’s night’s all-important growth data, with general regional sentiment perhaps dented by concerns on the Eurozone (Slovenia, Cyprus) and an IMF draft report suggesting a worse US growth outlook, although Japan’s was increased.

In focus today, will be the Eurozone finance ministers meeting in Dublin where many questions being asked on the  proposed growth strategy for Cyprus to get out of its now bigger bailout hole (€23bn vs. €17bn) and whether a Slovenia crisis is to be feared or not. In addition, will there be news on extension of bailout maturities for Ireland and Portugal. Suggestions Lisbon might need a second bailout even with 7yr extension.

Data-wise, we have UK Construction Output hoped to show some improvement in February. Eurozone Industrial Production seen rebounding in Feb, but remaining weak on an annual basis. US Retail Sales expected to be unimpressive, albeit stable as is Uni of Michigan Consumer Confidence, with both giving further reads on the US economy health.

US Q1 Results season steps up a gear with JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kicking things off for the banks. To close the week we also have US Fed Chairman Bernanke speaking and any clues on changes to minutes since the poor Non-Farm Payrolls regarding QE tapering will be much welcome.

After recent bounce, UK 100 found resistance at 4 Apr high of 6430. Support possible at 6340 (Cyprus mid-bailout lows) which were regained yesterday. 6500 target still feasible on easy money policy, but as is 6215 multi-month lows should there be a worsening in global sentiment (Eurozone situation, China growth).

 Gold remains around $1560 and still in multi-month downtrend. Downside still possible to $1520, should risk appetite rise sharply. Resistance also likely around $1580 April falling highs.

In Oil, Brent Crude back near recent lows of $104 on concerns over global demand while US has fallen from its highs to test 3-day lows of $93 .

In FX, GBP/USD off best levels of 1.54 continuing rebound from mid-March lows after 3-month decline. Support 1.525? EUR/USD keeps trying higher, but efforts flagging around 1.31 after rally from 1.275. Support at 1.30?

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan               Tertiary Industry Index                       Better than expected
  • India                Industrial Production                          Better than expected
  • German           Wholesale Price Index                                    In-line
  • See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Aggreko says Q1 trading in line with view
  • Rio Tinto Reports Pit Wall Slide at Bingham Canyon Mine
  • Aviva Completion of sale of Malaysian joint venture

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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