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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Burberry Group PLC 1136 133 13.3 -4.14
Barclays PLC 232.65 10.65 4.8 32.15
Croda International PLC 2322 101 4.5 28.71
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 273.8 11.1 4.2 35.68
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 331.8 11 3.4 -47.79
Vedanta Resources PLC 1094 34 3.2 7.78
Kazakhmys PLC 746 23 3.2 -19.53
Petrofac Ltd 1630 44 2.8 13.12
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC 269.5 -4.5 -1.6 -17.38
GlaxoSmithKline PLC 1427.5 -8.5 -0.6 -2.99
Smith & Nephew PLC 651.5 -3.5 -0.5 4.16
Next PLC 3576 -17 -0.5 30.65
SABMiller PLC 2660 -8 -0.3 17.36
United Utilities Group PLC 727 -2 -0.3 19.97
National Grid PLC 689 -1.5 -0.2 10.24
Severn Trent PLC 1671 -3 -0.2 11.7
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 5829.75 53.04 0.92 4.62
UK 11898.4 70.08 0.59 17.77
FR CAC 40 3413.72 47.85 1.42 8.04
DE DAX 30 7281.7 76.47 1.06 23.45
US DJ Industrial Average 30 13326.4 -18.57 -0.14 9.08
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3049.4 -2.37 -0.08 17.05
US S&P 500 1432.84 0.28 0.02 13.93
JP Nikkei 225 8534.12 -12.66 -0.15 0.93
HK Hang Seng Index 48 (closed) 21110.5 111.45 0.53 14.52
AU S&P/ASX 200 4486.58 3.05 0.07 10.60
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 92.3 -0.16 -0.17 -6.77
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 115.43 -0.01 -0.01 7.49
Gold ($/oz) 1772.15 1.45 0.08 13.14
Silver ($/oz) 34.0525 -0.0525 -0.15 22.6
Platinum ($/oz) 1688.95 2.85 0.17 20.54
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6037 -0.05 3.27
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.2937 0.04 -0.13
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2395 -0.1 3.31
UK Index called to open -15pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 10:00     EZ           Industrial Production
  • 12:00     US          Banks results
  • 13:30     US          Producer Price inflation
  • 14:55     US          Uni of Michigan Confidence

See Live Macro Calendar for all data, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -10pts, with Asia flat to just positive as bourses climb for the first time this week, helped by Japanese car manufacturers benefiting from bullish comments regarding the now long-running island dispute with China which have dented trade relations and thus demand.

Chinese equities also up ahead of a plethora of likely market-moving macro data starting this weekend (trade data) and continuing into next week (Inflation, GDP). Expectations the data will serve as a push towards more stimulus?

US markets gave up earlier jobs-fuelled gains with an improved initial jobless claims figure being attributed to a technical error, suggesting the pressured US employment environment persists. Further dampening of sentiment came from Fed officials talking of QE3 risks, offsetting optimism from claims that Greece had made progress with the troika of bailout lenders.

Global growth worries and concerns over the potential for US Q3 earnings season to disappoint appear to be holding back any rush to the upside, with the IMF continuing to sound the bells of worry and in cases contradicting earlier calls – cut back on austerity if growth slows, give Greece more time, global slowdown but no China hard landing.

Overnight, macro data shows Japanese money supply and Tertiary Industry Index in-line, but its Monthly Economic Report seeing government revise down its overall assessment for the third month in a row. Those worried about an Asia slowdown will, however, be pleased to see Indian Industrial Production well ahead of expectation, improving markedly on last month, and Singapore avoiding a technical recession thanks to an upgrade to Q2 GDP.

The US Q3 earnings season steps up a gear today with JPMorgan and Wells Fargo providing the first updates for the all-important financial sector. This could provide a knock-on to the European banks  which have already rallied strongly on the ECB and Fed pledge/intervention.

In FX and Commodities, GBP/USD a touch higher as risk aversion eased. EUR/USD flat since the US jobs data. Platform before another rally? GBP/EUR back down near lows of yesterday. Support? Gold slightly firmer on weaker dollar. In the Oil arena, Brent Crude continues to do better than its US cousin with geopolitical risks prevailing and US Crude finding resistance at 1-month highs.

Today’s focus will be on the US banks results. Data-wise though, Eurozone Industrial Production with deterioration in growth expected in August. US Producer Prices are seen posting slowing growth in September, but excluding Food and energy things are seen flat. The week closes with publication of the US Uni of Michigan Consumer Confidence which is expected to drop back again after last month’s disappointment.

For any assistance with placing trades or if you require any supplementary information, call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan               Tertiary Industry Index                       In-line
  • India                Industrial Production                         Better
  • See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Carlyle gets more time to make an offer for Chemring
  • Morgan Crucible warns on profit as trading weakens
  • Subsea 7 wins $300 mln deal from BP
  • Rockhopper gets nod for farm-out with Premier Oil
  • Computacenter third quarter revenue rises
  • Hargreaves Lansdown Q1 net inflows 550 mln stg
  • UNITE sells Devonshire Street property for 15.25 mln stg
  • Travis Perkins sales slip in Q3
  • Interserve sells PFI stakes for total 89.5 mln stg

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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