Today's Main Events
- 09:00 DE IFO Surveys
- 09:30 UK GDP & Services Index
- 13:30 US Jobless Claims & Durable Goods Orders
- 16:00 US Kansas Fed
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
easyJet PLC | 1385 | 49 | 3.7 | 80.93 |
TUI Travel PLC | 377.3 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 33.56 |
Tate & Lyle PLC | 853 | 29.5 | 3.6 | 11.94 |
Antofagasta PLC | 885 | 28 | 3.3 | -33.16 |
Kingfisher PLC | 396.6 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 39.6 |
Resolution Ltd | 321.7 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 29.98 |
Melrose Industries PLC | 275.9 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 23.45 |
ITV PLC | 158.7 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 50.86 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Randgold Resources Ltd | 4737 | -108 | -2.2 | -20.39 |
BG Group PLC | 1185 | -25.5 | -2.1 | 17.04 |
Fresnillo PLC | 1069 | -22 | -2 | -42.12 |
Tullow Oil PLC | 1021 | -20 | -1.9 | -19.03 |
Capita Group (The) PLC | 1037 | -17 | -1.6 | 37.35 |
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 996 | -14 | -1.4 | 46.26 |
Croda International PLC | 2417 | -32 | -1.3 | 1.73 |
Meggitt PLC | 540.5 | -6.5 | -1.2 | 41.38 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK UK 100 | 6,620.43 | 22.99 | 0.35 | 12.25 |
UK | 14,835.00 | 12.89 | 0.09 | 19.88 |
FR CAC 40 | 3,962.75 | 39.66 | 1.01 | 8.83 |
DE DAX 30 | 8,379.10 | 64.88 | 0.78 | 10.07 |
US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 15,542.20 | -25.54 | -0.16 | 18.61 |
US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 3,579.60 | 0.33 | 0.01 | 18.55 |
US S&P 500 | 1,685.94 | -6.45 | -0.38 | 18.21 |
JP Nikkei 225 | 14,506.25 | 33.67 | 0.00 | 39.55 |
HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 21,282.62 | -150.46 | -0.01 | -6.07 |
AU S&P/ASX 200 | 4,973.90 | 8.20 | 0.00 | 6.99 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 104.875 | -0.305 | -0.29 | 14.27 |
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 106.705 | -0.71 | -0.66 | -4.11 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1318.85 | 0.55 | 0.04 | -21.29 |
Silver ($/oz) | 20.03 | -0.055 | -0.27 | -33.98 |
Platinum ($/oz) | 1441.1 | -2.4 | -0.17 | -6.66 |
GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.5352 | – | 0.3 | -5.48 |
EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3212 | – | 0.16 | 0.1 |
GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.1621 | – | 0.14 | -5.65 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open -10pts around 6610, refusing to budge from sideways consolidation channel, Asian equities held back overnight by investors weighing prospect of reduced Fed stimulus following stronger than expected US PMI Manufacturing and Housing data and ratings agency S&P taking negative action on Italian banks and warned 27 sovereigns are on downgrade watch.
Japan also hindered by earnings season showing Canon cutting its full year sales and profits forecasts which outweighed better numbers from Facebook after the US close, as well as the fallout from the miss by Caterpillar yesterday which rekindled China slowdown fears, however weakness offset by a mini-stimulus programme (VAT cut, export help) launched by the world’s #2 economy.
Stronger Eurozone PMIs and some strong earnings on both sides of the Atlantic yesterday unable to help sentiment with QE3 taper and China slowdown fears still dominating keeping a lid on things.
In focus today, after better-than-expected Eurozone PMI yesterday will be the German IFO Surveys which are seen remaining solidly above 100, with marginal improvements. UK GDP is seen accelerating in the first reading for Q2, albeit with growth unchanged in the Services sector in May.
In the US, given the jitters about QE3 tapering after data turning better again Jobless Claims will be watched as usual, although expectations are for a tick up in Initial Claims after last week’s drop, but a fall back in Continuing Claims.
The reading for Durable Goods seen showing back at more normal growth levels. Kansas Fed seen improving to breakeven. Earnings season continues with names including 3M, Colgate, GM, Xerox, Dow Chemical.
UK 100 unmoved from its 6590-6665 range with catalysts for either a breakout or breakdown lacking as the summer hits the half-way point. As we keep repeating though, the longer the sideways move, the more energy that builds for the subsequent move. For the moment it’s still a pause with an uptrend.
In FX, GBP/USD bounced at 1.53 overnight despite Q3 taper fears following strong macro data. Possibility for return to 1.54 and above. Rising support line intact at 1.53. EUR/USD also bounced overnight just below 1.32, with rising support also intact. Possible regain of 1.325 and higher.
In Commodities, Gold lost momentum around $1350 as we discussed recently having rallied hard from lows of $1180 back to rallied back to an intersecting trendline of support which has now turned resistance. Still in 10-month downtrend, although 4-month falling highs have been broken (revert to support?). Narrow range $1300-1350 for the moment.
Oils fallen back despite weaker USD as concerns on global growth emerge on China slowdown fears and some weaker earnings reports (CAT). Brent Crude lost momentum at recent highs to test lows of 11-Jul at $106.25. US Light Crude broken trend of rising lows at $106 to test $104.8 lows of 17-Jul.
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See Live Macro calendar for all details
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