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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
BG Group PLC 1082.5 20.5 1.9 -16.6
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 303.6 4.5 1.5 -10.2
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 78.5 1.1 1.5 -0.5
Diageo PLC 1819.5 19.5 1.1 -9.0
Mondi PLC 1045 10.0 1.0 -0.1
Tesco PLC 293.35 2.5 0.8 -12.3
Legal & General Group PLC 207.7 1.7 0.8 -6.7
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 366 2.7 0.7 -26.8
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Randgold Resources Ltd 4627 -204.0 -4.2 22.1
Fresnillo PLC 852 -33.0 -3.7 14.3
Smiths Group PLC 1280 -43.0 -3.3 -13.5
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1374 -40.0 -2.8 1.5
Wolseley PLC 3304 -88.0 -2.6 -3.5
G4S PLC 233 -6.1 -2.6 -11.2
Barratt Developments PLC 393.7 -9.7 -2.4 12.8
SSE PLC 1475 -35.0 -2.3 7.7
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,520.39 -36.78 -0.56 -3.39
UK 16,019.40 -140.71 -0.87 0.53
FR CAC 40 4,276.34 -58.94 -1.36 -0.46
DE DAX 30 9,188.77 -154.17 -1.65 -3.80
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,276.70 -26.07 -0.16 -1.81
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,226.40 -50.40 -1.18 1.19
US S&P 500 1,857.44 -9.08 -0.49 0.49
JP Nikkei 225 14,423.19 -52.11 -0.36 -11.47
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,752.33 -94.12 -0.43 -6.67
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,336.63 -10.27 -0.19 -0.29
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 99.525 0.155 0.16 0.6788
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 106.615 -0.25 -0.23 -3.5253
Gold ($/oz) 1313.8 1.9 0.14 8.8894
Silver ($/oz) 20.0325 0.1175 0.59 2.5225
Platinum ($/oz) 1431.55 -2.35 -0.16 4.3519
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6493 -0.02 -0.3202
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3833 -0.03 0.662
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1924 0.01 -1.1032
UK 100 called to open 20 points higher

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:00     EU          German IFO
  • 09:30     UK          CPI
  • 09:30     UK          PPI
  • 11:00     UK          CBI Reported Sales
  • 13:00     US          House Price Index
  • 14:00     US          New Home Sales
  • 14:00     US          Consumer Confidence

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

The UK 100 is set to open up 16pts at 6531pts after the Dow Jones managed to overturn a 150pt intraday decline to finish in the red by a more palatable 26pts. One of the main drivers for the move south was a decline in US manufacturing as reported by Markit Economics. The preliminary index decreased to 55.5 in March from 57.1 a month earlier – a reading above 50 indicates expansion.

The initial knee-jerk reaction was understandable given just hours earlier Chinese manufacturing data had too disappointed. Reassuringly buyers returned as the Dow Jones fell, focussing on the positives – the reading was the second-highest since January 2013 and confirmed expansion.

Elsewhere in US markets the S&P 500 closed down -9.08pts at 1,857.44pts and NASDAQ closed at 4,226.39pts down 50.5pts.

Keep an eye on proceedings at 09:30 and 14:00 for further economic updates from the UK and US respectively. For the UK we will receive the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and from the US, the latest Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales figures.

Asian markets were reasonably placid, shallow losses of less than 0.5% registered across the Nikkei, Hang Seng and ASX 200. This amounts to profit taking after the prior day’s rally.

Results today: Wolseley (WOS.L) H1 Revenue £6.25bn, H1 pretax profit £316m, H1 dividend 27.5p, “still facing headwinds in continental Europe”  Kingfisher (KGF.L) FY Profit before tax £759m up 4.1%, Revenue £11.13bn (£11.18bn expected), Final dividend 6.78p (6.9p expected) will return £200m to shareholders this year, sees a pickup in consumer spending, “looking for a strategic partner in China”. A.G. Barr (BAG.L) Profit increased by 9.6% to £38.1m, revenue rose 6.9% to £254.1m, total dividend up 10% to 11.02p p/share.

In focus today: DE IFO Current assessment/business climate/expectations at 9:00. UK BBA Mortgage approvals, CPI PPI RPI at 9:30, US House price index at 13:00, US Consumer confidence at 14:00, US New home sales, EU Mario Draghi speaking, US FED Lockhart speaking at 20:00, US Philadelphia FED’s Plosser speaking at 23:00.

Commodities: Copper rose 0.3% to $6,485.25 tn following speculation that China will take measures to bolster growth and supply concerns from a mine in Chile. Gold rose 0.6% to $1,316.86 oz because of concerns over Russia invading other parts of Ukraine boosting demand for the safe haven. WTI crude drops 34cents to $99.26 a barrel while Brent crude slipped 13cents to $106.68 a barrel amid speculation stockpiles rose for a 10th week in the US.

FX: Euro slipped 0.1% to $1,3831 against the dollar but rose 0.3% against the Yen to 141.49 ahead of German IFO reports due late this morning. Indian rupee rose to a 7-month high against the dollar of 60.4775 as foreign investment increases amid speculation the forthcoming election of a new government will hasten the nation’s economic recovery.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • CHINA              Feb Leading Economic Index              IN-LINE
  • JAPAN              Small Business Confidence                 IN-LINE

See Live Macro calendar for all details

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Flybe, Stobart sign 5-year deal for flights from London Southend airport
  • Budget carrier easyJet upgrades first-half outlook
  • Nanoco posts bigger pre-tax loss
  • Centrica to buy Bord Gais retail arm for 1.1. billion euros
  • Kingfisher to return capital as profits rise
  • Troubled RSA launches 773 million pound rights issue
  • Sinclair IS Pharma gets global rights to Ellanse
  • Newly-privatised Royal Mail announces 1,300 jobs cut
  • A.G Barr posts 9.6 pct rise in profit
  • Aviva to sell Turkish unit to EMF Capital Partners, unit says
  • Topps Tiles upbeat as firm sees jump in first half profit
  • Investment bank Panmure Gordon profit nearly doubles
  • 888 lifts payout with one-off dividend
  • UNITE says 94 percent of investors back open offer
  • Wolseley profit lifted by strong trading in U.S., UK and Nordics

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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