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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Glencore Xstrata PLC 282.7 13.7 5.1 -19.53
Rio Tinto PLC 3000 97.5 3.4 -14.57
Vedanta Resources PLC 1164 37 3.3 0.61
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 219.3 6.2 2.9 -22.78
Fresnillo PLC 1091 27 2.5 -40.93
Anglo American PLC 1435 30 2.1 -24.23
BHP Billiton PLC 1913 37 2 -10.17
Sage Group (The) PLC 359 6.2 1.8 21.98
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Tullow Oil PLC 1041 -74 -6.6 -17.45
Croda International PLC 2449 -120 -4.7 3.07
easyJet PLC 1336 -51 -3.7 74.53
Tate & Lyle PLC 823.5 -22.5 -2.7 8.07
Weir Group PLC 2112 -55 -2.5 12.4
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 830 -20 -2.4 8.21
ITV PLC 154.8 -3.6 -2.3 47.15
Whitbread PLC 3116 -60 -1.9 27.34
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,597.44 -25.73 -0.39 11.86
UK 14,822.20 -27.37 -0.18 19.78
FR CAC 40 3,923.09 -16.83 -0.43 7.75
DE DAX 30 8,314.23 -16.83 -0.2 9.22
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,567.70 22.15 0.14 18.80
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,579.27 -21.12 -0.59 18.54
US S&P 500 1,692.40 -3.14 -0.19 18.67
JP Nikkei 225 14,506.25 33.67 0.00 39.55
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,282.62 -150.46 -0.01 -6.07
AU S&P/ASX 200 4,973.90 8.20 0.00 6.99
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 107.08 -0.36 -0.34 16.66
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 108.105 -0.31 -0.29 -2.85
Gold ($/oz) 1341.6 -1.3 -0.1 -19.93
Silver ($/oz) 20.3575 -0.0375 -0.18 -32.9
Platinum ($/oz) 1443.3 -4.3 -0.3 -6.52
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.5351 -0.14 -5.49
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3194 -0.21 -0.04
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1635 0.07 -5.53
UK Index called to open flat @ 6610

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 07:58     FR           PMI Manufacturing & Services
  • 08:28     DE           PMI Manufacturing & Services
  • 08:58     EZ           PMI Manufacturing & Services
  • 11:00     UK          CBI Sales Trends
  • 13:58     US          PMI Manufacturing
  • 15:00     US          New Home Sales

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open flat around 6610, with Asian markets in the red overnight in response to the China HSBC PMI Manufacturing figure posting a surprise fall, intensifying worries of the economy slowing. The number suggests the recently weaker GDP may see worse to come, and undoes yesterday’s soothing words from officials about GDP being at least 7% in 2013.

 Sentiment still marked by prospect of slower growing China and surprise slump in US manufacturing data from Richmond Fed yesterday.

 Overnight data showed the Japanese Trade Balance improving, but not as much as expected (exports slowed, imports rose), while better Australian Core CPI made up for weaker headline. The latter, while initially benefiting AUD, was countered by the China disappointment. Chinese equities, especially banks dented on talk of land reform to accelerate urbanisation.

 US markets close mixed, although the Dow benefited from results from DuPont and United Utilities. Apple Shares +5% after hours; Q2 results showed better iPhone sales than expected (+20% YoY, helped by developing market, but China -14%), revenues flat but a sharp drop in earnings (gross margin dented heavily). Profits not as low as analysts expected but guidance below consensus.

 As European woes persist, note a letter to Germany from the EU that it can’t confirm Greece fulfilled all preconditions required for the next bailout. Spanish PM Rajoy may also be closer to the exit, with the slush fund issue weighing heavily. In the US, with Bernanke’s tenure coming to an end in January, US Economist Larry Summers now a strong contender for Fed Chair.

 In focus today we have Eurozone PMI Manufacturing and Services (flash readings) from Europe which are unlikely to provide much more cheer than last month, still struggling below the 50 breakeven level. UK CBI Trends seen improving in July. US PMI Manufacturing seen remaining healthily above 50, while US New Home Sales should be higher than May, albeit with a slower growth rate. Results-wise, Q2 updates from US majors Pepsico, Ford, Boeing, Caterpillar and Visa.

 UK 100 still sideways with resistance at 6660 for a third time yesterday. Uptrend still intact, but pause taking its time for a proper breather (2 weeks) increasing potential for a second leg higher to May’s 6875. Support 6580, 65550, 6520.

 In FX, GBP/USD fallen back from close visit to 1.54. Rising support line intact at 1.53. Potential upside to 1.575 June highs. EUR/USD also still in uptrend with potential upside to 1.34, although Eurozone woes at odds with falling QE3 taper/rate hike fears. Support 1.315.

 In Commodities, Gold made it as high as $1348, which is a touch higher than the 1340 where we though resistance might kick in given it was the lows of April/May. Oils lost momentum with Brent slowing at $108.5, although support $107.5. For US Light Crude, still in uptrend with support $106 Resistance $108.5.

 For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan       Trade Balance                    Worse
  • Aussie      CPI                                       Worse
  • China       HSBC PMI Manufacturing  Worse

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • British Land interim dividend up 2.3 percent
  • British Land invests 512 mln stg as confidence picks up
  • Entertainment One sees FY earnings in line with its expectations
  • Tate and Lyle says Q1 profit in line, leaves year outlook unchanged
  • Compass Q3 organic revenue up 4.0 pct
  • Petrofac President and Executive Director Semaan to retire
  • Barratt Developments makes progress with British Land, L&Q London JVs
  • International Ferro Metals quarterly production climbs
  • Renishaw reports fall in full-year profit
  • Aquarius Platinum says attributable production climbs in June quarter
  • Aquarius Q4 production climbs despite “difficult” environment
  • IQE expects H1 revenue of 63 mln stg
  • EasyJet revenue up 10.5 pct, guides for strong full-year
  • APR Energy says first-half revenue at $87.2 million
  • National Express H1 profit dips
  • Morgan Advanced Materials sees potential for modest revenue growth in second half
  • Kingfisher’s UK sales return to growth
  • Jd Wetherspoon nudges up full-year expectations
  • Chip designer ARM Holdings beats in Q2 on strong licensing
  • Talktalk Telecom Q1 adds customers in Q1

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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