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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Tate & Lyle PLC 871 14 1.6 14.3
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 791.5 12.5 1.6 3.19
United Utilities Group PLC 787.5 6 0.8 16.93
Fresnillo PLC 1080 4 0.4 -41.53
Sainsbury (J) PLC 382.3 0.3 0.1 10.78
Associated British Foods PLC 1940 -1 -0.1 24.04
Randgold Resources Ltd 5030 -5 -0.1 -15.46
Severn Trent PLC 2042 -3 -0.1 29.73
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Aggreko PLC 1758 -104 -5.6 1.03
ARM Holdings PLC 995 -55 -5.2 29.56
Anglo American PLC 1570 -83.5 -5 -17.11
Standard Chartered PLC 1539 -77 -4.8 -2.19
Antofagasta PLC 958 -44 -4.4 -27.64
Hammerson PLC 521.5 -23.5 -4.3 6.8
Rio Tinto PLC 2913 -129.5 -4.3 -17.04
Evraz PLC 148.9 -6.5 -4.2 -42.49
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,696.80 -143.48 -2.1 13.55
UK 14,507.70 -316.44 -2.13 17.23
FR CAC 40 3,967.15 -83.96 -2.07 8.96
DE DAX 30 8,351.98 -178.91 -2.1 9.72
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,294.50 -12.67 -0.08 16.72
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,459.42 -3.88 -0.11 14.57
US S&P 500 1,650.51 -4.84 -0.29 15.73
JP Nikkei 225 14,612.45 128.47 0.89 40.57
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22,668.16 -1.52 -0.01 0.05
AU S&P/ASX 200 4,983.50 -78.95 -1.56 7.20
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 93.955 -0.165 -0.18 2.36
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 102.33 1.075 1.06 -8.04
Gold ($/oz) 1390.75 3.85 0.28 -17
Silver ($/oz) 22.5375 0.0925 0.41 -25.72
Platinum ($/oz) 1459.7 -0.2 -0.01 -5.46
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.5097 0.03 -7.05
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.2934 0.09 -2
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1672 -0.06 -5.23
UK Index called to open +10pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:00     DE           IFO Surveys
  • 12:30     US          BoE’s King and ECB’s Liikanen speak
  • 13:30     US          Durable Goods Orders

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open +10pts, after another roller-coaster session in Japan with a positive start undone by a renewed bout of volatility, with a 1000pt swing from highs as the JPY strengthened amid safehaven seeking (USD/JPY sub-102), before a recovery to positive after the BoJ’s Kuroda said he wants to avoid volatility in Japanese markets, notably bonds.

 The US managed a near breakeven close (helped by solid jobless and housing data) although this served to further fuel the debate about QE3 tapering. US performance in contrast to 2% declines in major European bourses which were in spite of some lightly better PMI Manufacturing and Services and confirmation of positive UK Q1 GDP.

 Japan aside, Australia the stand-out performer, unfortunately in the red, with fallout from the poor China Manufacturing (more out overnight, see below) maintaining doubts on growth and still weighing on sentiment. Hong Kong and Shanghai are in the green.

 Overnight, Draghi speaking in London highlighted Europe needs a more European UK just as much as the UK needs a more British Europe, while reiterating that the single currency is stable and unfounded fears of a collapse have been removed.

 More bad news from the China with a decline in Flash business sentiment in the wee hours. This morning, German Q1 GDP data kicked off the macro slate with a confirmation of barely positive growth along with a slight improvement in German GFK consumer Confidence.

 In focus today, we have German IFO Surveys which are seen largely unchanged in May, and US Durable Goods Orders seen rebounding.

 The UK 100 back around the 6700 level, having found support and bounced from late last week’s consolidation lows. No real progress above 6720 overnight. Looking at 3-month graph, any further weakness could find rising support at 6600.

 In FX, GBP/USD bounced from near 2-month lows of 1.5 on prospect of QE3 tapering. Resistance possible at 1.52. EUR/USD rebounded to near yesterday’s high of 1.295 helped by slightly better PMIs. USD/JPY still below 102. AUD found support at June 2012 lows of 0.9585. Still watching price and RSI for potential rebound call – valid for last 3 yrs.

 Gold rebounded to near $1400 on some USD weakness, but still struggling to do much better on benign inflation meaning less need for hedge, limited safehaven seeking.

 US light Crude bounced strongly from lows of $92.5 (after highs of $97.5) but stopped short at $94.5 despite USD weakening, with growth concerns dominating. Same story in Brent Crude, with a bounce from $101 (after highs of $105).

 For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • China               MNI Flash Sentiment              Deteriorated
  • Germany                     GDP (Q1 final)                         In-line
  • Germany                     GFK Consumer Confidence     Better, improved

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Close Brothers says well placed for the year
  • Croda buys Arizona Chemical’s specialty products business
  • H&T says results may be hit by volatile gold price
  • Computacenter to return 75 mln stg to shareholders
  • Premier African Minerals to sell Togo and Mali projects
  • Petroceltic gives update on Bulgaria well
  • Smiths Group maintains full-year outlook

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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