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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Man Group PLC 107 13.25 14.1 -14.88
Barclays PLC 223.1 10.1 4.7 26.73
CRH PLC 1268 48 3.9 -0.94
ICAP PLC 382.9 13.9 3.8 10.38
Evraz PLC 376.3 12.2 3.4 0.43
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 24.35 0.77 3.3 20.66
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 526.5 16.5 3.2 22.3
British Land Co PLC 497 13.7 2.8 7.46
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Polymetal International PLC 894 -21 -2.3 -18.28
BT Group PLC 212.9 -3.2 -1.5 11.52
Shire PLC 2013 -27 -1.3 -10.25
Unilever PLC 2109 -26 -1.2 -2.5
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 31.19 -0.285 -0.9 20.4
Tullow Oil PLC 1540 -14 -0.9 9.84
Associated British Foods PLC 1223 -9 -0.7 10.48
Whitbread PLC 1907 -14 -0.7 21.93
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK 100 5777.1 28.39 0.49 3.68
11479.7 118.32 1.04 13.63
CAC 40 3266.27 36.95 1.14 3.37
DAX (Xetra) 6801.32 61.42 0.91 15.31
Dow Jones Industrial Average 13228.3 23.68 0.18 8.27
Nasdaq Comp. 3069.2 18.59 0.61 17.81
S&P 500 1403.36 3.38 0.24 11.59
Nikkei 225 9520.89 -40.94 -0.43 12.60
Hang Seng 21074 332.55 1.6 14.32
S&P/ASX 200 4396.6 34.55 0.79 8.38
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite 104.985 0.185 0.18 6.05
Gold Composite 1665.75 2.35 0.14 6.34
Silver Composite 31.3 0.27 0.87 12.69
Palladium Composite 683.4 16 2.4 4.05
Platinum Composite 1571.4 3.4 0.22 12.15
GBP/USD – US $ per £ 1.6287 0.16 4.88
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro 1.3263 0.08 2.38
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ 1.228 0.07 2.35
UK Index called to open +20pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08:00   ES        GDP
  • 10:00   EZ        Consumer Inflation
  • 13:30   US        Personal Income/Spending
  • 14:45   US        Chicago PMI
  • Click for full Live Macro calendar, incl. consensus expectations

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires):

  • Aquarius Platinum posts Q3 loss on reduced production
  • Aberdeen Asset Management profit rises as risk appetite returns
  • Cadogan Petroleum full-year profit grows
  • Aurelian Oil & Gas says adds to exploration area in Poland
  • A G Barr gets approval for share split
  • Max Petroleum sees NUR-1 results in June

 

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +20pts after US markets closed with modest gains shrugging off a disappointing GDP figure and focusing more on a better than expected reading from the Uni of Michigan Confidence index, and the GDP figure opening the possibility of more QE from the Fed.

Overnight, many Asian markets (China & Japan) closed on account of Golden Week, but the region buoyant thanks to the positive lead form the US, which refused to react to the poor GDP figure. Macro data showed UK housing growing more weakly than the prior month, but falling less over the last year. German Retail Sales also came in a bit light, however, China’s Leading index did improve. We have also just had negative action on Spanish banks by S&P, understandable after the sovereign downgrade of last week, and dovetails nicely off press talk of a Spanish bad bank for toxic assets (see below).

This week’s focus likely on start with today’s GDP figure from Spain – expected to confirmed the troubled nation in double-dip recession, and following continued deterioration in unemployment figures last week (1 in four out of work; 1 in two youths). We also have UK PMI Manufacturing and Sales, which follow last week’s poor European readings. Thereafter, we have US Non-Farm payrolls on Friday, important after the poor GDP figure last week, and policy decisions from the ECB and RBA. While the former is expected to change nothing, but comment on the new ‘growth pact’, the latter is expected to cuts rates after a low inflation figure.

Enjoy the new week – at least the sun has finally come out of hiding!

 

Morning Press Selection:

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • UK                    Hometrack Housing Survey    Mixed
  • China               Leading Index                          Improved
  • Germany         Retail Sales                             Weaker Growth



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