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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Vedanta Resources PLC 1008 49.5 5.2 -0.69
Man Group PLC 78.8 3.5 4.6 -37.31
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 20.8 0.81 4.1 3.07
Polymetal International PLC 828 29 3.6 -24.31
Standard Chartered PLC 1328.5 42 3.3 -5.71
Xstrata PLC 943 28.3 3.1 -3.58
Tullow Oil PLC 1373 37 2.8 -2.07
IMI PLC 881.5 23 2.7 15.99
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 1319 -39 -2.9 -13.62
Centrica PLC 310.6 -4.4 -1.4 7.36
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 237.9 -3.2 -1.3 12.22
Tesco PLC 311.15 -2.55 -0.8 -22.88
United Utilities Group PLC 617.5 -5 -0.8 1.9
Severn Trent PLC 1644 -11 -0.7 9.89
SSE PLC 1325 -8 -0.6 2.63
Antofagasta PLC 1030 -5 -0.5 -15.23
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK 100 5304.48 36.86 0.7 -4.81
10435.5 3.6 0.03 3.29
CAC 40 3027.15 19.15 0.64 -4.2
DAX (Xetra) 6331.04 59.82 0.95 7.34
Dow Jones Industrial Average 12504.5 135.12 1.09 2.35
Nasdaq Comp. 2847.2 68.42 2.46 9.29
S&P 500 1315.99 20.77 1.6 4.64
Nikkei 225 8729.29 95.4 1.1 3.24
Hang Seng 19140.12 217.8 1.15 3.83
S&P/ASX 200 4121 47.38 1.16 1.59
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite 93.27 0.08 0.09 -5.79
Gold Composite 1589.35 -4.75 -0.3 1.47
Silver Composite 28.405 -0.125 -0.44 2.27
Palladium Composite 613.7 -2 -0.32 -6.56
Platinum Composite 1470.5 -2 -0.14 4.95
GBP/USD – US $ per £ 1.5825 -0.01 1.9
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro 1.2793 -0.15 -1.24
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ 1.237 0.14 3.1
UK Index called to open +45pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30   UK        Public Finances & Consumer Price Inflation
  • 09:30   ES        Bond Auction
  • 15:00   EZ        Consumer Confidence
  • 15:00   US        Richmond Fed
  • 15:00   US        Existing Home Sales
  • Click or full Live Macro calendar, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK Index 100 called to open +35pts after US markets closed higher breaking their 6-day losing streak, fuelled not be macro data but by commitment by G8 leaders to focus on jobs and growth as well as austerity in order to resolve the eurozone crisis and to keep Greece in the single currency, and ahead of an EU summit on Wednesday which looks likely to see renewed discussion (heated?) on Eurobonds (Hollande for, Merkel against). According to a Spanish government official, Spain is also pushing for a larger role for the ECB in the new growth strategy.

Asian markets buoyed by the increased risk appetite and rebound in Europe and US, and ahead of tomorrow’s EU summit (no pressure on EU leaders to deliver, again). Macro data limited to China’s Conference Board Leading Economic Index which grew at 0.8% again in April. Optimism after Chinese Premier Wen’s weekend comments about policy changes to maintain growth and the possibility that this will be via a speeding up of approvals for infrastructure investment to spur growth.

Note that the IIF has said that Spanish banking losses are expected to range from €216-260bn with the industry likely to need around €60bn in outside help to stay afloat. Markets may view this as piling pressure on the EU summit attendees, or may just return to worrying about contagion. There is also at FT article (link below) discussing whether the ECB is propping up Greek banks, something which could be removed if its leaves the Euro.

In commodities, Gold looks to have found resistance just ahead of $1,600oz. Silver followed suit, slowing up before $29/oz. In FX, the USD remains flat versus GBP, weakened back vs EUR after finding support near Jan lows, but strengthened vs JPY. EUR strengthened back versus GBP as optimism gains ahead of the EU summit.

Today’s focus will be on the UK’s public finances and inflation figures. The former is expected to show surpluses for the first month of the new tax year. Inflation is anticipated to have dropped back from 3.5% annually to 3.1% in April with core inflation back at 2.0%. RPI is also seen cooling a touch. Thereafter, Spain’s bond auction will be watched for yields. Eurozone consumer confidence and US Richmond Fed and Housing data could also dictate sentiment with the first two seen deteriorating but the latter seen rising.

After its messy Nasdaq IPO on Friday (delayed opening, limited 10% pop, flat close) and an 11% drop in its first full day trading yesterday, could bargain hunters be circling Facebook this afternoon?

Results out this morning from Marks & Spencer (MKS) and Vodafone (VOD).

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • China               Conf Board Leading Econ index          Growth
  • Japan               Supermarket Sales                              Contraction slowed
  • See calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Marks & Spencer year profit falls for first time in 3 years
  • Thomas Cook agrees to sell India unit for 94 mln stg
  • Vodafone cuts revenue outlook on European woes
  • Yell appoints advisors to create new capital structure
  • Cobham extends Thrane & Thrane offer period
  • Bloomsbury profit up, says has strong titles lined up for 2012
  • Victrex reports 4 pct fall in profit
  • FSA to investigate “historic issues” at HomeServe
  • Intermediate Capital Group profit jumps

 

Morning Press Selection:



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