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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
BAE Systems PLC 407.8 11.3 2.9 12.96
ITV PLC 203 5.2 2.6 265.4
Carnival PLC 2433 52 2.2 13.16
Barclays PLC 236.05 5 2.2 -8.92
Coca-Cola HBC AG 1516 31 2.1 0
Schroders PLC 2650 51 2.0 96.15
Ashtead Group PLC 940.5 18 2.0 1037
ARM Holdings PLC 982.5 18.5 1.9 435.1
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Resolution Ltd 351 -22.1 -5.92 2.84
Fresnillo PLC 880.5 -44 -4.76 10.06
Antofagasta PLC 828.5 -19 -2.24 -19.25
Next PLC 6565 -150 -2.23 206.9
Randgold Resources Ltd 4884 -85 -1.71 -4.98
Associated British Foods PLC 2805 -35 -1.23 241.2
Sports Direct International PLC 849.5 -9 -1.05 743.6
Kingfisher PLC 410.8 -3.3 -0.8 73.77
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,605.28 36.93 0.56 4.39
UK 16,354.20 56.82 0.35 21.14
FR CAC 40 4,313.26 41.30 0.97 17.54
DE DAX 30 9,242.55 61.66 0.67 21.12
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,336.20 88.98 0.55 16.91
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,333.31 53.36 1.25 35.47
US S&P 500 1,872.25 13.42 0.72 23.06
JP Nikkei 225 14,462.52 51.25 0.36 -11.23
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,574.22 -9.28 -0.04 -7.43
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,355.60 11.03 0.21 0.06
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 99.385 0.245 0.25 2.1
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 106.715 -0.08 -0.07 -9.58
Gold ($/oz) 1354.15 -6.65 -0.49 -17.19
Silver ($/oz) 20.8425 -0.0475 -0.23 -31.48
Platinum ($/oz) 1465.35 -1.55 -0.11 -14.52
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6598 0.2 7.19
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3925 0.12 4.31
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.192 0.09 2.77
UK 100 called to open 10 points higher

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 10:00     EU          Construction Output
  • 10:00     EU          Labor Costs
  • 11:00     US          Mortgage Applications
  • 12:30     UK          Chancellor Osborne Announces Budget to Parliament
  • 12:30     US          Current Account Balance
  • 18:00     US          Fed QE3 Pace

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 set to open higher by 7pts at 6608 setting up what could be a third straight day of gains. The UK Index closed higher by 40pts yesterday as global markets welcomed Putin’s statement Russia would not look to take control of more of Ukraine after approving a plan to make Crimea part of Russia. The 40pt advance resulted in a close above 6600 for the first time in a week, preserving an 18-month upward trend line.

The US markets embraced the news from Russia. The Dow Jones racked up 89pts or 0.55%, S&P500 up 0.72% and most impressively the NASDAQ scored over 53pts to finish up 1.25%

Trading in Asian markets was broadly uneventful, shallow losses or gains were registered as the Federal Reserve two-day policy meeting draws to a conclusion. Stimulus tapering is likely to continue, threatening to strengthen the dollar, resulting in dearer USD denominated commodities for those purchasing with alternative currencies.

The FOMC could detail the criteria for future interest rate hikes having seen the jobless rate fall to 6.5%, previously considered the trigger for raising the base rate.

European trading should be steady this morning with conservative traders choosing to await details of Mr Osborne’s budget and commentary from the Fed this afternoon. The chancellor’s speech commences at 12:30 GMT.

Results today: Smiths Group (SMIN.L) H1 headline pretax profit £215m, interim dividend 12.75p, operating margin 17%, basic EPS 23.7p, H1 revenue £1.44bn (£1.48bn expected) sees 4-5% impact on FY earnings from “FX Headwinds”.

In focus today: BoE meeting minutes, MPC Vote, Claimant Count rate/charge, unemployment rate from the UK all due at 9:30am. EU Construction output at 10:00, UK Budget report at 12:30, US Fed interest rate decision, FOMC economic projections, MBS and Treasury purchase program (QE) due at 18:00 & Monetary Policy statement press conference at 18:30

Commodities: Gold trades near one week low of $1,350.88 the lowest since March 12th which has fallen 2% in the past two days as signs of easing tension in Ukraine has reduced the safe haven appeal. Nickel rises to $16,310 a metric ton which is an 11 month high as raw stockpiles in China are falling amid Indonesian export ban and speculation that the Russian supply will be disrupted. The metal is up 17% this year. WTI Crude climbed $1.62 to $99.70 a barrel and Brent Crude rose 55cents to $106.79 a barrel as Enterprise Products Partners said it would “more than double the capacity of its Seaway pipeline as early as May”

In FX: the Dollar was near a four month low against its peers on speculation the FED will drop its jobless rate threshold and adopt qualitative guidance for signalling when it will raise interest rates. Against the Yen it traded at $101.54, $1.3926 against the Euro. The Euro was little changed against the Yen at 141.40.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AUSSIE             Skilled Vacancies                    IN-LINE
  • JAPAN              Tokyo Condominium Sales      IN-LINE
  • JAPAN              Industry Activity Index            IN-LINE
  • JAPAN              Department Store Sales          IN-LINE

See Live Macro calendar for all details

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Silence Therapeutics looking at balance sheet options
  • Domino Printing Sciences makes solid start to 2014
  • Kentz wins $38m contract from Cardón IV
  • PureCircle seeing improved profitability
  • Unite wins approval for London student accomodation development
  • UK engineer Smiths Group H1 profit hit by stronger pound
  • Cape confident on improvement after 2013 profit jumps
  • Ophir says offshore Gabon well is dry hole
  • Chariot oil and gas says fully funded for all current commitments through to end of 2015

 


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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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