Today's Main Events
- 7:58-8:58 EZ PMI Manufacturing & Services
- 09:30 UK Home Loans
- 11:00 UK CBI Reported Sales
- 13:30 US Weekly Jobless Claims
- 15:00 US Housing
- See Live Macro Calendar for all data, incl. consensus expectations
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UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
SSE PLC | 1354 | 16 | 1.2 | 4.88 |
Tullow Oil PLC | 1379 | 4 | 0.3 | -1.64 |
Centrica PLC | 326 | 0 | 0 | 12.69 |
Tesco PLC | 339.2 | -0.15 | 0 | -15.93 |
Diageo PLC | 1680.5 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 19.48 |
Severn Trent PLC | 1729 | -4 | -0.2 | 15.57 |
Resolution Ltd | 223.7 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -11.02 |
United Utilities Group PLC | 714.5 | -2 | -0.3 | 17.9 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Kazakhmys PLC | 704.5 | -30.5 | -4.1 | -24 |
Evraz PLC | 255.5 | -10.3 | -3.9 | -31.81 |
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC | 356 | -14.2 | -3.8 | -43.98 |
Anglo American PLC | 1910 | -73 | -3.7 | -19.71 |
Vedanta Resources PLC | 931.5 | -35 | -3.6 | -8.23 |
Fresnillo PLC | 1526 | -55 | -3.5 | -0.07 |
IMI PLC | 883.5 | -28.5 | -3.1 | 16.25 |
Kingfisher PLC | 285.1 | -8.9 | -3 | 13.72 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK 100 | 5774.2 | -83.32 | -1.42 | 3.62 |
11494.3 | -145.17 | -1.25 | 13.77 | |
CAC 40 | 3461.65 | -51.63 | -1.47 | 9.55 |
DAX (Xetra) | 7017.75 | -71.57 | -1.01 | 18.98 |
Dow Jones Industrial Average | 13172.8 | -30.78 | -0.23 | 7.82 |
Nasdaq Comp. | 3073.67 | 6.41 | 0.21 | 17.98 |
S&P 500 | 1413.49 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 12.4 |
Nikkei 225 | 9178.12 | 46.38 | 0.51 | 8.55 |
Hang Seng | 20068.26 | 180.48 | 0.91 | 8.86 |
S&P/ASX 200 | 4383.7 | 7.66 | 0.17 | 8.06 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite | 98.015 | 0.665 | 0.68 | -0.99 |
Gold Composite | 1665.65 | 8.35 | 0.5 | 6.34 |
Silver Composite | 30.4475 | 0.6475 | 2.17 | 9.62 |
Palladium Composite | 637.925 | 5.625 | 0.89 | -2.87 |
Platinum Composite | 1562 | 24.9 | 1.62 | 11.48 |
GBP/USD – US $ per £ | 1.5892 | – | 0.05 | 2.33 |
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro | 1.2534 | – | 0 | -3.24 |
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ | 1.2678 | – | 0.04 | 5.67 |
UK 100 called to open +30pts, regaining the 5,800 handle, after the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes contained dovish commentary signalling the US central bank moving ever closer to taking additional policy measures to boost the economy.
Several committee members judge further monetary easing necessary fairly soon if there is not a significant upturn in economic activity. Many also in favour of leaving interest rates low for even longer than the existing end-2014 timeframe and of the opinion that large scale asset purchases (QE3, quantitative easing) would help boost the US recovery.
This sets things up nicely for Fed Chairman Bernanke to make an announcement at next month’s FOMC meeting (13 Sept), however, some even hope that he uses the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium (31 Aug) as he has done in the past (2010, for QE2).
Weak macro data from China in the form of HSBC Flash China PMI Manufacturing has added to the stimulus focus, with the data printing a 9-month low and expectations rising that the Chinese Central Bank (PBOC) will also soon be announcing new/more stimulus measures. Note however that the Conference Board Leading Index for China rose last month, providing a conflicting data-point.
These market positives overrode the negatives from Europe that no decisions on an extension of payback timeline for Greece would be made before the Troika’s September report (IMF, EC & ECB) on the state of the troubled nation’s finances.
Note that Hewlett Packard, often used as a macro-economic growth indicator reported quarterly results which went against peer Dell who showed declining growth the prior day.
In the Commodities space most are benefiting from the FOMC minutes, Gold up near May highs on inflation expectations and Oil on hopes for increased global economic activity and thus demand. Mining unrest in South Africa also proving support to metals prices. In FX, USD weaker versus majors (GBP, EUR, CHF, JPY) on expectations of upcoming quantitative easing from the US central bank.
A busy macro day ahead, for a change. PMI Manufacturing & Services data for France, Germany and the Eurozone is seen remaining depressed, below the 50 growth/contraction hinge point. UK BBA housing loans should have grown by more than last month. US weekly jobless is seen flat, while US New Home Sales should have shown a rebound in growth for July.
Results out from Kazakhmys (KAZ) and Diageo (DGE) this morning. IT would appear that the miner has missed expectations while the drinks manufacturer has beaten. However, as always, the devil is more often than not in the detail so speak to your trader for more details or just a chat about the markets and what you like to trade.
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