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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Evraz PLC 312.2 12.8 4.3 -16.68
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 142.7 5.6 4.1 -3.19
CRH PLC 1169 38 3.4 -8.67
Tullow Oil PLC 1476 44 3.1 5.28
Petrofac Ltd 1609 47 3 11.66
Kazakhmys PLC 710.5 20 2.9 -23.35
Ashmore Group PLC 338.8 9.2 2.8 1.44
Burberry Group PLC 1439 38 2.7 21.43
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 20.62 -0.34 -1.6 2.18
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 2362 -30 -1.3 -3
Tesco PLC 301 -3.5 -1.1 -25.39
Sage Group (The) PLC 252.8 -2.9 -1.1 -14.07
Wolseley PLC 2277 -23 -1 6.8
Severn Trent PLC 1664 -16 -1 11.23
Sainsbury (J) PLC 291 -2.6 -0.9 -3.93
United Utilities Group PLC 642 -5 -0.8 5.94
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK 100 5391.14 34.8 0.65 -3.25
10657.9 142.62 1.36 5.49
CAC 40 3084.7 41.73 1.37 -2.38
DAX (Xetra) 6396.84 73.65 1.16 8.45
Dow Jones Industrial Average 12580.7 125.87 1.01 2.97
Nasdaq Comp. 2870.99 33.46 1.18 10.2
S&P 500 1332.42 14.6 1.11 5.95
Nikkei 225 8633.19 -23.89 -0.28 2.10
Hang Seng 18701.82 -353.64 -1.86 1.45
S&P/ASX 200 4094.2 -20.21 -0.49 0.93
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite 90.75 -0.33 -0.36 -8.33
Gold Composite 1552.3 -22 -1.4 -0.9
Silver Composite 27.735 -0.615 -2.17 -0.14
Palladium Composite 605.6 0.6 0.1 -7.8
Platinum Composite 1428 -9.5 -0.66 1.92
GBP/USD – US $ per £ 1.5623 -0.06 0.6
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro 1.2473 -0.03 -3.71
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ 1.2525 -0.02 4.39
UK Index called to open -30pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30   UK        Consumer Credit & Mortgage Approvals
  • 10:00   EZ        Sentiment (Bus, Cons, Econ, Ind, Servs)
  • 15:00   US        Pending Home Sales
  • Click for full Live Macro calendar, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -30pts after the European Central Bank (ECB) rejected Spain’s idea of recapitalising troubled bank Bankia with €19bn in Spanish sovereign bonds which could then be used as collateral and exchanged for cash at the ECB. The ECB said this went against its mandate of not financing national governments, and it is up to Spain to provide the necessary means to recapitalise the bank, within a very troubled sector saddled with €180bn of bad loans from its burst property bubble.

The trouble is that Spain’s own borrowing costs are now in dangerous territory, with its benchmark (10yr) bond yields having risen to around 6.5%, which is commonly viewed as unsustainable. Remember than Greece, Ireland and Portugal managed no more than a month at 7% before having to ask for rescues. Spain continues to urge the ECB to act as lender of last resort, having done all it can terms of implementing austerity reforms and requests that the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) becomes a bank bailout took. Last night the Spanish central bank governor resigned, a month earlier than planned.

IN a further dent to confidence, much peddled expectations that China is prepared to announce a new stimulus programme to encourage growth in the slowing economy have been denied, impacting risk assets such as equities and commodities.

US markets closed with respectable gains, having been driven by speculation of the ECB announcing a bank recapitalisation programme, something which did not materialise as you will see by the opening calls for European bourses, and hopes of China stimulus. The closing bell saw US indices higher despite some weak macro data in the form of US housing, US consumer confidence and Dallas Fed Manufacturing, but off their highs as emerging ratings agency Egan Jones downgraded Spain at the end of the session.

Overnight macro data saw nothing to move sentiment much. Japan’s Manufacturing PMI remained flat at 50.7, still in growth territory. Australian construction work showed more growth than expected, while its retail sales were weaker than expected, actually contracting.

Asian markets failed to emulate US gains, with European concerns back to the fore on the ECB rejection of Spanish proposals and the nation’s ratings downgrade. These renewed European fears overnight have seen safehaven seeking in the USD, at the expense of the single currency EUR, which has kept any strength in commodity prices in check.

Macro data of interest today is UK Consumer credit and mortgage approvals (how many approved, how much was able to be borrowed). Expectations are for flat lending, but more approvals. Thereafter expectations are for deterioration in Eurozone sentiment by business and industry. US pending home sales are seen flat on the month.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan               Markit/JMMA Manuf PMI      Flat
  • Aussie              Construction Work Done        Better
  • Aussie              Retail Sales                             Worse
  • See calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Metro sells Makro UK to Booker in $219m deal
  • Patagonia Gold says Argentina project on schedule
  • Bwin.party invests $50m in social gaming
  • AMEC buys Unidel for A$27m
  • Premier Oil increases stakes in Bream project
  • Glencore welcomes Viterra approval of acquisition
  • Centamin updates five-year Sukari gold mine plan
  • Severn Trent FY profit beats expectations
  • Sportingbet Q3 2012 EBITDA drops to £10.8m
  • BG sells interest in Philippines power plants

 

Morning Press Selection:



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