Today's Main Events
- 09:30 UK Consumer Credit & Mortgage Approvals
- 10:00 EZ Sentiment (Bus, Cons, Econ, Ind, Servs)
- 15:00 US Pending Home Sales
- Click for full Live Macro calendar, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Evraz PLC | 312.2 | 12.8 | 4.3 | -16.68 |
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA | 142.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 | -3.19 |
CRH PLC | 1169 | 38 | 3.4 | -8.67 |
Tullow Oil PLC | 1476 | 44 | 3.1 | 5.28 |
Petrofac Ltd | 1609 | 47 | 3 | 11.66 |
Kazakhmys PLC | 710.5 | 20 | 2.9 | -23.35 |
Ashmore Group PLC | 338.8 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 1.44 |
Burberry Group PLC | 1439 | 38 | 2.7 | 21.43 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC | 20.62 | -0.34 | -1.6 | 2.18 |
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC | 2362 | -30 | -1.3 | -3 |
Tesco PLC | 301 | -3.5 | -1.1 | -25.39 |
Sage Group (The) PLC | 252.8 | -2.9 | -1.1 | -14.07 |
Wolseley PLC | 2277 | -23 | -1 | 6.8 |
Severn Trent PLC | 1664 | -16 | -1 | 11.23 |
Sainsbury (J) PLC | 291 | -2.6 | -0.9 | -3.93 |
United Utilities Group PLC | 642 | -5 | -0.8 | 5.94 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK 100 | 5391.14 | 34.8 | 0.65 | -3.25 |
10657.9 | 142.62 | 1.36 | 5.49 | |
CAC 40 | 3084.7 | 41.73 | 1.37 | -2.38 |
DAX (Xetra) | 6396.84 | 73.65 | 1.16 | 8.45 |
Dow Jones Industrial Average | 12580.7 | 125.87 | 1.01 | 2.97 |
Nasdaq Comp. | 2870.99 | 33.46 | 1.18 | 10.2 |
S&P 500 | 1332.42 | 14.6 | 1.11 | 5.95 |
Nikkei 225 | 8633.19 | -23.89 | -0.28 | 2.10 |
Hang Seng | 18701.82 | -353.64 | -1.86 | 1.45 |
S&P/ASX 200 | 4094.2 | -20.21 | -0.49 | 0.93 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite | 90.75 | -0.33 | -0.36 | -8.33 |
Gold Composite | 1552.3 | -22 | -1.4 | -0.9 |
Silver Composite | 27.735 | -0.615 | -2.17 | -0.14 |
Palladium Composite | 605.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -7.8 |
Platinum Composite | 1428 | -9.5 | -0.66 | 1.92 |
GBP/USD – US $ per £ | 1.5623 | – | -0.06 | 0.6 |
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro | 1.2473 | – | -0.03 | -3.71 |
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ | 1.2525 | – | -0.02 | 4.39 |
UK 100 called to open -30pts after the European Central Bank (ECB) rejected Spain’s idea of recapitalising troubled bank Bankia with €19bn in Spanish sovereign bonds which could then be used as collateral and exchanged for cash at the ECB. The ECB said this went against its mandate of not financing national governments, and it is up to Spain to provide the necessary means to recapitalise the bank, within a very troubled sector saddled with €180bn of bad loans from its burst property bubble.
The trouble is that Spain’s own borrowing costs are now in dangerous territory, with its benchmark (10yr) bond yields having risen to around 6.5%, which is commonly viewed as unsustainable. Remember than Greece, Ireland and Portugal managed no more than a month at 7% before having to ask for rescues. Spain continues to urge the ECB to act as lender of last resort, having done all it can terms of implementing austerity reforms and requests that the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) becomes a bank bailout took. Last night the Spanish central bank governor resigned, a month earlier than planned.
IN a further dent to confidence, much peddled expectations that China is prepared to announce a new stimulus programme to encourage growth in the slowing economy have been denied, impacting risk assets such as equities and commodities.
US markets closed with respectable gains, having been driven by speculation of the ECB announcing a bank recapitalisation programme, something which did not materialise as you will see by the opening calls for European bourses, and hopes of China stimulus. The closing bell saw US indices higher despite some weak macro data in the form of US housing, US consumer confidence and Dallas Fed Manufacturing, but off their highs as emerging ratings agency Egan Jones downgraded Spain at the end of the session.
Overnight macro data saw nothing to move sentiment much. Japan’s Manufacturing PMI remained flat at 50.7, still in growth territory. Australian construction work showed more growth than expected, while its retail sales were weaker than expected, actually contracting.
Asian markets failed to emulate US gains, with European concerns back to the fore on the ECB rejection of Spanish proposals and the nation’s ratings downgrade. These renewed European fears overnight have seen safehaven seeking in the USD, at the expense of the single currency EUR, which has kept any strength in commodity prices in check.
Macro data of interest today is UK Consumer credit and mortgage approvals (how many approved, how much was able to be borrowed). Expectations are for flat lending, but more approvals. Thereafter expectations are for deterioration in Eurozone sentiment by business and industry. US pending home sales are seen flat on the month.
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research