Today's Main Events
- 09-30 EZ Sentix Investor Confidence
- 09-30 UK Construction PMI
- 10-00 EZ Producer Price Index (PPI)
- 15-00 US Factory Orders
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
BT Group PLC | 264.8 | 16.2 | 6.5 | 14.58 |
Vedanta Resources PLC | 1259 | 55 | 4.6 | 8.82 |
Reed Elsevier PLC | 713.5 | 26.5 | 3.9 | 11.14 |
Tullow Oil PLC | 1179 | 41 | 3.6 | -6.5 |
Anglo American PLC | 1954 | 67.5 | 3.6 | 3.17 |
ARM Holdings PLC | 893.5 | 30.5 | 3.5 | 16.34 |
GKN PLC | 249.3 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 8.96 |
Rio Tinto PLC | 3679 | 119 | 3.3 | 4.77 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Tate & Lyle PLC | 804 | -8.5 | -1 | 5.51 |
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC | 340.5 | -2.8 | -0.8 | 4.93 |
BAE Systems PLC | 337.9 | -1.7 | -0.5 | 0.3 |
Legal & General Group PLC | 151.8 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 4.26 |
Barclays PLC | 300 | -1 | -0.3 | 14.33 |
Hammerson PLC | 484.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 | -0.86 |
Resolution Ltd | 261.9 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 5.82 |
United Utilities Group PLC | 731.5 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 8.61 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK UK 100 | 6347.24 | 70.36 | 1.12 | 7.62 |
UK | 13275.8 | 245.31 | 1.88 | 7.28 |
FR CAC 40 | 3773.53 | 40.93 | 1.1 | 3.64 |
DE DAX 30 | 7833.39 | 57.34 | 0.74 | 2.9 |
US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 14009.8 | 149.2 | 1.08 | 6.91 |
US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 3179.1 | 36.97 | 1.18 | 5.29 |
US S&P 500 | 1513.17 | 15.06 | 1.01 | 6.1 |
JP Nikkei 225 | 11260.35 | 69.01 | 0.62 | 8.32 |
HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 23799.59 | 77.75 | 0.33 | 5.04 |
AU S&P/ASX 200 | 4907.52 | -13.58 | -0.28 | 5.56 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 97.46 | -0.15 | -0.15 | 6.18 |
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 116.475 | -0.36 | -0.31 | 4.67 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1669.15 | 0.65 | 0.04 | -0.38 |
Silver ($/oz) | 31.74 | -0.095 | -0.3 | 4.61 |
Platinum ($/oz) | 1701 | 16.2 | 0.96 | 10.17 |
GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.5713 | – | 0.02 | -3.26 |
EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3635 | – | -0.14 | 3.3 |
GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.1525 | – | 0.23 | -6.42 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open +5pts, with Asian equities moderately higher (although, Australia in the red) thanks to macro-economic data continuing to suggest a better global outlook and central bank intervention supporting the prices of risk assets like equities and commodities
Better date from US employment and PMI Manufacturing (EZ + US) all added to the argument on Friday helping US markets close higher, while overnight we had China Non-Manufacturing edging higher into growth territory, further boosting the economic recovery calls. However, UK Lloyds Business Barometer dropped back sharply and Australian Building Approvals missed expectations by quite a margin.
In focus today will be the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence, for which the negative reading is seen improving. UK Construction PMI also seen improving, just shy of the 50 mark which distinguishes between growth and contraction. Eurozone Producer Prices seen confirmed at negative in December but still above the 2% growth level over the last 12 months. In the afternoon, consensus looking for US Factory Orders to grow 2% in December after a flat November.
Later in the week, watch out for Services PMI from UK, EZ and US where readings are mostly seen remaining below 50, bar Germany and the US. Thursday’s ECB rate decision will again likely be less of an event than the press conference by the president Draghi. The UK’s BoE and Australia’s RBA also meet, but are not expected to alter policy. Given its importance in the region, German Factory Orders and Industrial Production will be much watched.
UK 100 futures but struggling to make a decisive breach of the 6350 level although the fact that the Dow Jones close above the key 14,000 level on Wall Street will likely lead to much discussion about the rally continuing. As we pointed out in our weekly roundup, we still believe a correction could materialise, questioning whether the reward of potentially limited upside to 6400 is worth the risk of potential big correction to 6150? Could Eurozone woes (political from Rajoy and Berlusconi?) and US sequestration (spending cuts) rejoin the party?
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