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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Vodafone Group PLC 223.9 8 3.71 31.44
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 4812 155 3.33 12.72
Glencore Xstrata PLC 322.5 9.5 3.04 -17.07
Aviva PLC 453.2 13.3 3.02 28.39
Sports Direct International PLC 701.5 20.5 3.01 66.55
Persimmon PLC 1340 39 3 55.36
Burberry Group PLC 1484 42 2.91 3.78
Travis Perkins PLC 1825 51 2.87 46
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Randgold Resources Ltd 4336 -70 -1.59 -29.89
AstraZeneca PLC 3815.5 -61.5 -1.59 24.65
Fresnillo PLC 782.5 -9.5 -1.2 -53.53
Associated British Foods PLC 2859 -24 -0.83 60.98
Johnson Matthey PLC 3215 -15 -0.46 42.45
RSA Insurance Group PLC 103.3 -0.3 -0.29 -20.48
TUI Travel PLC 423.8 -0.6 -0.14 39.59
Centrica PLC 313 0 0 -8.93
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,558.28 100.39 1.55 -3.97
UK 15,789.90 228.52 1.47 -2.45
FR CAC 40 4,188.10 70.31 1.71 -3.22
DE DAX 30 9,256.58 140.26 1.54 -4.99
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,628.50 188.27 1.22 -5.04
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,057.12 45.57 1.14 -3.35
US S&P 500 1,773.43 21.79 1.24 -3.55
JP Nikkei 225 14,462.41 307.29 0.02 -11.23
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,636.85 213.72 0.01 -7.16
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,166.53 35.13 0.01 -3.47
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 97.695 -0.215 -0.22 3.61
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 107.375 0.49 0.46 1.01
Gold ($/oz) 1260.95 4.55 0.36 0.59
Silver ($/oz) 19.8525 -0.0675 -0.34 -2.25
Platinum ($/oz) 1387.1 10.3 0.75 -4.77
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.633 0.05 -0.57
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3586 -0.04 0.33
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2019 0.09 -0.92
UK 100 called to open 25 points higher

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Industrial Production
  • 09:30     UK          Manufacturing Production
  • 11:00     GE          Industrial Production
  • 13:30     US          Non-farm payrolls
  • 13:30     US          Unemployment Rate

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +25pts at 6488 as traders take a lead from gains in Asian and US markets overnight.  Better than expected weekly jobless data helped pushed the Dow Jones higher by 188 points to 15,628 whilst the S&P added 22 points 1,773.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei was by far the best performer, up 307 points and above the psychological 14,000 level. China’s Hang Seng also did well, up 213 points  at 21,636.

In focus today, eyes will no doubt be on non-farm payroll figures due out at 13:30 from the states. Expectations are for a figure of 188,000 for the additions to non-farm payrolls, after an increase of 87,000 in December. The US is set to reach the debt limit today but both House speaker Boehner and House Minority Leader Cantor have assured yesterday that the US will not default! Also keep an eye on Industrial Production figures from the UK and Germany (at 09:30 and 11:00 respectively).

In commodities, Gold continued to push higher trading at $1262, now heading for a weekly gain ahead of Non-Farms data later today. With highs of $1274 seen on January 27th will we test this once more.

WTI continued its weekly hot streak having traded above the $98 handle, also heading for weekly gains as stronger-than-forecast economic data bolstered the outlook for fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user.

Following comments from ECBs Draghi yesterday that rates will not be cut in a hurry we saw the EUR/USD spike from $1.34 to above $1.36 in a matter of seconds. Elsewhere USD is trading pretty flat against major counterparts ahead of jobs data at 13:30pm, with GBP/USD at $1.634. Over in Australia we saw the RBA raise economic growth and inflation forecast for 2014 with AUD/USD trading at $0.894 level having fallen 5% alone in the last 3 months.

The UK 100 ’s two-day bounce now leaves us at one-week highs with 6,600 being the first significant resistance to the updside. 6,500 and then 6,400 become support on the downside however I predict that until we see non-farm payroll data from the US later today, markets may be a little subdued (famous last words).

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • NZ            House Prices           In-Line
  • China       Markit PMI             In-Line

See Live Macro calendar for all details

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Oxford Pharmascience to start oxp001 400mg Ibuprofen study
  • British Land bumps up stake in Hercules Unit Trust
  • Qinetiq says full-year outlook unchanged
  • Shaftesbury says demand for London properties still strong
  • ITM Power says five hydrogen refuelling sites approved for planning
  • Aquarius Platinum says H1 revenue falls by 2 pct to $113 mln
  • UK online domestic appliances retailer AO to float on LSE
  • BHP cuts Australia coal mine jobs as cost pressures mount

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