Getting latest data loading
Home / Morning Report / 051113fi

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 1001 43.5 4.5 -45.8
Rio Tinto PLC 3289.5 105.5 3.3 -6.32
CRH PLC 1553 48 3.2 24.44
Antofagasta PLC 863.5 26.5 3.2 -34.78
Randgold Resources Ltd 4615 108 2.4 -22.44
Anglo American PLC 1494.5 34.5 2.4 -21.09
HSBC Holdings PLC 703 15.7 2.3 8.67
Vedanta Resources PLC 1087 23 2.2 -6.05
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
easyJet PLC 1230 -66 -5.1 60.68
Weir Group PLC 2173 -83 -3.7 15.65
Meggitt PLC 493.9 -15.1 -3 29.19
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 331.7 -8.3 -2.4 2.22
Severn Trent PLC 1821 -40 -2.1 15.69
Aggreko PLC 1551 -33 -2.1 -10.86
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 487.1 -7.6 -1.5 27.41
United Utilities Group PLC 692 -10 -1.4 2.75
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,763.62 28.88 0.43 14.68
UK 15,468.40 12.71 0.08 25.00
FR CAC 40 4,288.59 15.40 0.36 17.78
DE DAX 30 9,037.23 29.40 0.33 18.72
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,639.00 23.55 0.15 19.35
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,936.59 14.55 0.37 30.37
US S&P 500 1,767.93 6.29 0.36 23.96
JP Nikkei 225 14,225.37 23.80 0.17 36.84
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,042.16 -147.46 -0.64 1.70
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,431.96 41.43 0.77 16.84
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 94.59 0.08 0.08 3.06
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 106.145 0.35 0.33 -4.61
Gold ($/oz) 1314.75 -0.25 -0.02 -21.54
Silver ($/oz) 21.695 0.02 0.09 -28.49
Platinum ($/oz) 1454.25 -0.85 -0.06 -5.81
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.5962 -0.06 -1.72
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3498 -0.14 2.26
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1826 0.08 -3.98
UK 100 called to open +15pts @ 6780

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:28     UK          PMI Services
  • 13:30     EZ           ECB President Draghi speaks
  • 15:00     US          ISM Non-Manufacturing

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +15pts at 6780, after a mixed session in Asia-Pacific where the main events were the RBA leaving rates unchanged and the AUD/USD weakening (helping exporter equities) on more bearish talk of the currency pair being uncomfortably high but policy settings unrevised.

The positive bias maintained by a raft of PMI Services improvements in September, especially in China (where the PBOC injected more cash to calm money markets), while UK BRC Sales accelerated. There was also more dovish talk from Fed members with Rosengren saying the FOMC could afford to be patient in deciding when to taper (as we expect will be the case).

Note China in the red ahead of the world’s #2 economy’s big political meet to decide on economic policy as it heads for the slowest growth in over two decades. Shares down on concerns that reforms will be disappointing.

US bourses closed positive supported by Fed’s Bullard saying no hurry to taper (wants to see more inflation) and Powell that policy to remain highly accommodative before Rosengren chipped in after the close.

Data also helped US gains with ISM New York jumping to 59 while the ECB’s Asmussen maintained that a bank resolution fund should be in place by 2015 although the Italian Finance minister warned on strong EUR, and urged ECB to ease policy to help SMEs.

In focus today we have UK PMI Services which is seen ticking back in October, although still remain above the impressive 60 level in September. Thereafter, we really only have US ISM non-Manufacturing to look forward to on the data front, with it seen slipping a touch but holding 54 but US Economic Optimism jumping above 40.

After dovish suggestions from a Fed member, colleagues update this evening (Lacker, Williams), however, it may be more interesting to hear what ECB peers have to say with the bank’s president and several others talking today, especially with so much talk of deflation meaning need for a rate cut on Thursday.

Last night Twitter upped its IPO price range by 25%. Likely on strong demand, but also what Facebook dis before its disastrous market debut last May. Any parallels to be drawn? This morning results from Marks & Spencer look at odds with ABF with sales for the discount retailer faring better and the former reporting yet another quarterly fall in underlying sales. Balfour Beatty expects 2013 results to beat expectations.

The UK 100 has slowed up before 6800 having rallied from 6715 lows late last week. Anticipations of accommodative central banks still helping, alongside some strong macro data. Support 6715, resistance 6800.

In FX, USD basket back from best levels of 81 although found support at 80.6 despite dovish  commentary by Fed members. Resistance found at highs of mid-October. GBP/USD still in downtrend from 25 Oct, although found support at 1.59. Resistance possible around current levels after bounce USD strength is the hindrance. EUR/USD also down on USD strength, bouncing off 1.345 which was the breakout on 18 Sept. ECB talk today could be interesting.

Gold still under pressure from strong USD but off worst levels of $1305. Not really helped by dovish Fed member comments. Resistance still strong at $1350.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • UK            BRC Sales                                        Miss, Improved
  • CN            HSBC/Markit PMI Services             Improved
  • HK            HSBC/Markit PMI Services             Improved
  • AU            RBA Interest Rate                           Unchanged
  • IN             HSBC/Markit PMI Services             Improved
  • IRE           PMI Services                                   Improved

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Intercontinental Hotels posts 3.3 pct revpar growth in Q3
  • African Minerals maintains 2013 sales guidance
  • Marks & Spencer clothing sales fall for 9th straight quarter
  • Balfour Beatty says businesses on track to exceed 2013 expectations
  • Blinkx first-half adjusted profit up 93 pct
  • Security group G4S says nine month revenue up 4.8 pct
  • Flybe’s non-executive Chairman Jim French steps down
  • Royal London says new life and pension business up 14 percent in Q3
  • Costain says performance in line with board’s expectations
  • Shire reports positive Vyvanse results for binge eating
  • CSR Q3 revenue falls 11 pct
  • Insurer RSA says severe weather events to hit FY return on equity
  • Coms agrees to buy Redstone’s Comunica
  • Redstone sells Comunica for 9.5 mln stg
  • Imperial Tobacco posts higher profit, says chairman to retire
  • AB Foods results beat forecasts on Primark growth
  • Legal & General worlwide sales beat forecast

Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.