Today's Main Events
- 8:13-8:58 EZ PMI Services
- 09:28 UK PMI Services
- 10:00 EZ GDP & Retail Sales
- 13:15 US ADP Employment Chg
- 15:00 US Factory Orders & ISM Non-Manufacturing
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
GKN PLC | 313.4 | 15.1 | 5.1 | 36.98 |
easyJet PLC | 1263 | 42 | 3.4 | 64.99 |
Land Securities Group PLC | 946 | 18 | 1.9 | 16.29 |
HSBC Holdings PLC | 731.9 | 13.6 | 1.9 | 13.14 |
Vodafone Group PLC | 192.05 | 3.45 | 1.8 | 24.34 |
Old Mutual PLC | 205.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 15.38 |
Tesco PLC | 364.45 | 6 | 1.7 | 8.47 |
London Stock Exchange Group PLC | 1404 | 23 | 1.7 | 29.04 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Wolseley PLC | 3145 | -212 | -6.3 | 8.45 |
Evraz PLC | 134 | -3.7 | -2.7 | -48.24 |
Smiths Group PLC | 1349 | -22 | -1.6 | 13.27 |
Randgold Resources Ltd | 5130 | -80 | -1.5 | -13.78 |
Antofagasta PLC | 956 | -14.5 | -1.5 | -27.79 |
Anglo American PLC | 1518.5 | -21.5 | -1.4 | -19.83 |
Aggreko PLC | 1687 | -19 | -1.1 | -3.05 |
GlaxoSmithKline PLC | 1692 | -11.5 | -0.7 | 26.74 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK UK 100 | 6,558.58 | 33.46 | 0.51 | 11.20 |
UK | 14,259.40 | 25.79 | 0.18 | 15.23 |
FR CAC 40 | 3,925.83 | 5.16 | 0.13 | 7.82 |
DE DAX 30 | 8,295.96 | 10.16 | 0.12 | 8.98 |
US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 15,177.50 | -76.53 | -0.5 | 15.82 |
US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 3,445.26 | -20.11 | -0.58 | 14.10 |
US S&P 500 | 1,631.38 | -9.04 | -0.55 | 14.39 |
JP Nikkei 225 | 13,014.87 | -518.89 | -3.83 | 25.20 |
HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 22,006.96 | -278.56 | -1.25 | -2.87 |
AU S&P/ASX 200 | 4,835.20 | -65.61 | -1.34 | 4.01 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 93.475 | -0.235 | -0.25 | 1.84 |
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 103.215 | 0.94 | 0.92 | -7.24 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1403.05 | 4.85 | 0.35 | -16.27 |
Silver ($/oz) | 22.53 | 0.045 | 0.2 | -25.74 |
Platinum ($/oz) | 1497.6 | 8.2 | 0.55 | -3.01 |
GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.5336 | – | 0.23 | -5.58 |
EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3097 | – | 0.19 | -0.77 |
GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.171 | – | 0.03 | -4.92 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open -50pts at 6505 (note Mon +50pts, Tues -50pt) with another negative session in Asia – Japan’s Nikkei showing continued volatility with a further 500pt decline (almost 4%) – after another bearish handover from the US markets as uncertainty sticks around regarding the US Fed and its QE3 stimulus programme and IMF Chief Lagarde spoke of a softer patch in the global economy and downside risks.
Dallas Fed President revived tapering fears saying the Fed should slow QE3 but not stop it. George argued for a slowing, and Raskin noted progress on employment but much left to do. Helpful! Interesting conspiracy theory that Fed orchestrating this conflicting chat from members in order to take the froth out of markets and avoid QE3 creating asset bubbles.
Japan suffering after a growth strategy speech by PM Abe, vowing to slay the monster of deflation with fiscal and monetary policy, failed to impress. Australia weak after a big deterioration in the AIG Services Index and slower GDP growth than expected.
Back to global worry #2 and China also weak despite the HSBC Services PMI being pretty much unchanged in May, with Fed tapering fears dominating global growth sentiment and Europe’s solar panel import duty reprieve not being considered generous enough.
In focus today, we have Eurozone Services PMI with consensus expecting persistent weakness across the board, Germany the only member knocking on the door of growth. Note however, UK Services PMI seen showing improved growth. Good news.
Eurozone GDP seen unchanged from preliminary weakness, but traders would likely welcome any upside surprise after the IMF cuts German and French estimates for 2013/14. Eurozone Retail Sales seen under continued pressure from regional austerity.
In the afternoon, the US ADP Employment Change will be key ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls, with job adds of 170K expected after 199K last month and NFP seen flat at 175K. US Factory Orders seen rebounding in April and consensus puts ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) a touch lower in May, but still in growth. No pressure after disappointing manufacturing on Monday.
UK 100 tried lower late yesterday and again this morning, testing the round number 6500. As highlighted yesterday, correction still in progress, with the longer term graph showing the extent of the down move and potential for both bounce and continued declines. Will After falls of 5.5% from highs, and 4.4% from 6800, sentiment still on a knife-edge.
In FX, GBP/USD continued to benefit from fears of QE3 stalling the economy and more QE weakening the USD. Support around 1.53 overnight, upside potential to May high of 1.56. EUR/USD at 4-week high of 1.31 with May highs of 1.325 likely eyed amid market volatility on QE3. USD/JPY back below 100 after poor received speech by PM Abe. Reversal from 103.75 highs on 22 May still in progress.
Gold back up above $1400 but still trading around the level and struggling to get above the $1420 high of late May. Still moving on USD volatility on QE3 taper uncertainty. US light Crude off its rebound highs of $94.5 yesterday but still in 1-month downtrend of falling highs. Same story for Brent Crude with a slow up at overnight highs of $103.5.
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Associated British Foods (ABF): dividend 9.35p / index impact -0.123 pts
National Grid (NG.): 26.36p / -3.764pts
WPP (WPP): 19.71p / -0.974pts
See Live Macro calendar for all details
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