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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
BG Group PLC 1273.5 28 2.2 25.78
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 503.5 10.3 2.1 31.7
BT Group PLC 377 7.5 2 63.13
Associated British Foods PLC 2267 45 2 44.95
Resolution Ltd 357.4 6.7 1.9 44.4
Smiths Group PLC 1435 19 1.3 20.49
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 4848 59 1.2 24.98
Wolseley PLC 3361 38 1.1 15.9
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Croda International PLC 2436 -199 -7.6 2.53
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2159.5 -117.5 -5.2 -0.71
Antofagasta PLC 855 -42.5 -4.7 -35.42
Fresnillo PLC 975.5 -43.5 -4.3 -47.18
Randgold Resources Ltd 4640 -160 -3.3 -22.02
Anglo American PLC 1485 -49 -3.2 -21.59
Hammerson PLC 529 -13 -2.4 8.34
Weir Group PLC 2255 -50 -2.2 20.01
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,731.43 -46.27 -0.68 14.13
UK 15,480.00 -102.96 -0.66 25.09
FR CAC 40 4,299.90 25.78 0.6 18.09
DE DAX 30 9,033.92 23.65 0.26 18.67
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,545.80 -72.96 -0.47 18.63
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,919.70 -10.91 -0.28 29.81
US S&P 500 1,756.54 -6.77 -0.38 23.16
JP Nikkei 225 14,201.57 -126.37 -0.01 36.62
HK Hang Seng Index 48 23,280.19 73.82 0.00 2.75
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,411.13 -14.37 0.00 16.40
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 96.495 0.145 0.15 5.13
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 109.245 0.56 0.52 -1.82
Gold ($/oz) 1325.25 2.35 0.18 -20.91
Silver ($/oz) 21.9425 0.0275 0.13 -27.68
Platinum ($/oz) 1454.2 1.9 0.13 -5.82
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6027 -0.11 -1.32
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3552 -0.21 2.67
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1826 0.11 -3.97
UK 100 called to open 20 points higher

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08:30     Swiss     PMI
  • 09:30     UK          PMI
  • 12:58     US          Markit PMI Final
  • 13:10     US          Fed’s Bullars speaks
  • 14:00     US          ISM Manufacturing

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +20pts at 6754, clawing back some of yesterday’s losses, fears that the Fed might, after all, begin tapering its asset purchase programme sooner rather than later caused indices in the States last night to sell-off. The Dow Jones was down 72 points at 15,545 whilst the S&P was down 6.7 points at 1,756.

A mixed session in Asia is seeing Japan’s Nikkei down 126 points at 14,201 whilst China’s Hang Seng was recently up 73 points at 23,280. The main reason for the sell-off in the Nikkei was thanks to Sony cutting its profit forecast and the yen strengthened against all of its major peers.

Overnight data saw China Manufacturing PMI for October rise to 51.4, its highest reading since August 2012 from 51.1 in September whilst China HSBC/Markit Manufacturing PMI for October also climbed to 50.9 its fastest pace in 7-months from 50.2 previously.

In focus today is the Q3 trading update from Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) and at first glance it looks to have missed analysts’ forecasts. Yesterday the Telegraph suggested the 81% government owned bank would report a profit of £400m for Q3 yet Sky News reports a loss of £634m this morning missing by over £1bn.The bank has avoided a good bank, bad bank split, but has internally ring-fenced £38bn of bad loans they expect not to be repaid. The bank also set aside another £250m for PPI mis-selling.

The UK 100 has bounced off yesterday’s lows but still remains in a downtrend over the past few sessions. First level of resistance to the upside is at 6,760 before any move towards week-highs of 6,820 can be seen. On the downside, a break of 6,730 could see us head towards 6,700.

In FX, EUR/USD continued to weaken falling back below 1.35 as inflation slowed more than forecast and improved US macro data fuelled speculation the Fed will taper stimulus sooner rather than later.

Gold slid 2% and Silver almost 5% following the same pattern from the night before as the Fed spoke. Having found $1360 as resistance and now below the 50% Fibonacci level will this trend continue? In Oil, US Crude swung between gains and losses around $96.5 nearing a 4 month low as China’s manufacturing index countered concerns about rising crude supplies.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AUSSIE     PPI                           In-line
  • CHINA      PMI                         Better
  • CHINA      HSBC PMI                Better
  • JAPAN      Vehicle Sales           In-line
  • AUSSIE     Commodity index   In-line

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • DS Smith trading in line with management expectations
  • Gulf Keystone says Akri-Bijeel block is commercial
  • Clarkson buys Gibb Tools for maximum 12.7 mln stg
  • Berendsen’s third-quarter revenue rises 9 pct
  • Direct Line Q3 opreating profit up 6.1 pct
  • Fund firm F&C posts fall in assets, rising net inflows
  • Meggitt lowers revenue guidance after tough Q3
  • RBS to create new internal bad bank to house problem loans

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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